Tuesday, November 16, 2004


Misunderestimating the Palestinian "New Guard"

Henry Siegman, in the Dec. 2 issue of the New York Review of Books, takes on those who he feels have fundamentally misunderstood or misconstrued Sharon's purposes in continuing down the path of "unilateral disengagement" from Gaza, as well as those who have, like the Economist, distinguished the Palestinian "New Guard" from the old guard "Abus" as having "learned that 'they cannot erase Israel by force.'" Siegman writes:
There is no basis for the self-serving Israeli claim promoted by Ehud Barak—and by The Economist—that the goal of the older Palestinian generation is the eradication of Israel. Neither the Old Guard nor the Young Guard believes in that goal—if only because they know how utterly unachievable it is. But both groups will resist territorial concessions to Israel if they are not accompanied by fair exchanges of territory on both sides of the pre-1976 border that are mutually agreed to in a peace negotiation. This issue has never distinguished the "Abus" from their challengers.

Those who identify with the Palestinian Young Guard are demanding an end to the corruption of the old-time Fatah leaders who dominate the Palestinian Authority; they also call for new leaders who can formulate a coherent strategic approach to the struggle for Palestinian statehood, something Arafat was incapable of providing. Whether the Young Guard will succeed in producing such a strategy, and whether that strategy will embrace or reject violence, will be determined in large measure by Israel's willingness to assure Palestinians that a viable state can be achieved by nonviolent means. That is an assurance that Sharon's proposal for unilateral disengagement from Gaza does not offer. Indeed, as everyone now knows from [Sharon Advisor Dov] Weissglas's interview, it is intended to preclude it.
I think Siegman is right to assert that somehow the Israelis stand a better chance of pushing around the "Young Guard" or that the "Young Guard" is somehow fundamentally different than the "Old Guard" in its demands and needs in terms of establishing a Palestinian state in the West Bank and Gaza is going to find that this is not the case. I think there are those that cynically hope that the "Young Guard" will tear apart Palestinian society if they challenge the "Abus" in certain ways and see this as an opportunity for Israel to continue expansion of settlements and occupation. This approach, though, is quite different from looking on the political landscape of Israel and Palestine and seeing a rosy dawn in the future. Siegman also talks about Arafat, but I'm about to go out the door, so I'll discuss more of that later.

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